Dr. Gray and his staff have revised the 2006 Hurricane Season predictions. Although it is still expected to be above average, the hurricane prediction has been reduced from previously issued predictions early in 2006.

Information obtained through July 2006 indicates that the 2006 Atlantic hurricane season will be more active than the average 1950-2000 season; however, we have reduced our prediction from our earlier forecasts. We estimate that 2006 will have about 7 hurricanes (average is 5.9), 15 named storms (average is 9.6), 75 named storm days (average is 49.1), 35 hurricane days (average is 24.5), 3 intense (Category 3-4-5) hurricanes (average is 2.3) and 8 intense hurricane days (average is 5.0). The probability of U.S. major hurricane landfall is estimated to be about 40 percent above the long-period average. Landfall probabilities are based upon our expectation for another active season as well as analysis of our new steering current predictors for the East Coast and Gulf Coast of the United States.

Read more about 2006 hurricane predictions.